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View Full Version : Who do you think is going to be the next 2000 yard back?


CPRJCJTHALLTHEWAY
08-06-2007, 03:23 PM
Every year theres always a running back who has a great season with 1600+ yards but there's only been five times in NFL history where a running back has rushed for 2000 yards in one season. Eric Dickerson in 1984 with the Rams, Jamal Lewis in 2003 with theRavens, Barry Sanders in 1997 with the Lions, Terrell Davis in 1998with the Broncos, and O.J. Simpson in 1973 with the Bills. Who do you think will be the sixth and in what year?

I'm going to say Either L.T. in 2008 or Adrien Peterson in 2010.

Jom112
08-06-2007, 03:32 PM
Don't really see anyone breaking 2,000 yards.
LT maybe with Norv Turner now as the head coach. If LJ didn't do it with 400+ carries I don't think he's ever going to do it. Steven Jackson mixes his yards between rushing and receiving so to get 2,000 just rushing will be pretty hard.
If I had to pick a sleeper/unproven guy it would be Brian McFadden depending on what team drafts him next season. The man looks like an absolute beast in college. Wouldn't mind tanking 2007 to have a chance to draft him. Just kidding...

Steely_J
08-06-2007, 03:49 PM
I def think LT will be the next guy to do it.


I wouldn't be suprised if Parker pulls it off before his career is over.

philhos
08-06-2007, 03:51 PM
I def think LT will be the next guy to do it.


I wouldn't be suprised if Parker pulls it off before his career is over.

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sloppy lombardi slaps
08-06-2007, 03:54 PM
I def think LT will be the next guy to do it.


I wouldn't be suprised if Parker pulls it off before his career is over.



Chad has a better chance of getting 2000 recieving yards than willie getting 2000 rushing yards, and chad ain't gettin no 2000.

Steely_J
08-06-2007, 04:16 PM
I def think LT will be the next guy to do it.


I wouldn't be suprised if Parker pulls it off before his career is over.



Chad has a better chance of getting 2000 recieving yards than willie getting 2000 rushing yards, and chad ain't gettin no 2000.

Last year he had 1494yds and still had a few bad games...

Parker had 5 games last season under 60 yds a game = 221 yds. If he were to just have some consistent 100yd games in there.. say he had 100 even in each of those games he would have added 279 yds to his season total... coming out at 1,773.

It's not hard to say that Parker will probably have a season where he gets at least 100yds a game in rushing. Throw in a few 200+ games like he did last year, and he could very well have a 2000yd season.

It's not a gimme, by any means, but it's an attainable goal for him. And considering the dude fuels himself off of what critics say he can't do.. I'd say he has a fighting chance.

Bmoreblitz
08-06-2007, 04:28 PM
I def think LT will be the next guy to do it.


I wouldn't be suprised if Parker pulls it off before his career is over.



Chad has a better chance of getting 2000 recieving yards than willie getting 2000 rushing yards, and chad ain't gettin no 2000.

Last year he had 1494yds and still had a few bad games...

Parker had 5 games last season under 60 yds a game = 221 yds. If he were to just have some consistent 100yd games in there.. say he had 100 even in each of those games he would have added 279 yds to his season total... coming out at 1,773.

It's not hard to say that Parker will probably have a season where he gets at least 100yds a game in rushing. Throw in a few 200+ games like he did last year, and he could very well have a 2000yd season.

It's not a gimme, by any means, but it's an attainable goal for him. And considering the dude fuels himself off of what critics say he can't do.. I'd say he has a fighting chance.

Possible if he didn't have to play the Ravens D twice a year.[;)]
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sloppy lombardi slaps
08-06-2007, 05:02 PM
I def think LT will be the next guy to do it.


I wouldn't be suprised if Parker pulls it off before his career is over.



Chad has a better chance of getting 2000 recieving yards than willie getting 2000 rushing yards, and chad ain't gettin no 2000.

Last year he had 1494yds and still had a few bad games...

Parker had 5 games last season under 60 yds a game = 221 yds. If he were to just have some consistent 100yd games in there.. say he had 100 even in each of those games he would have added 279 yds to his season total... coming out at 1,773.

It's not hard to say that Parker will probably have a season where he gets at least 100yds a game in rushing. Throw in a few 200+ games like he did last year, and he could very well have a 2000yd season.

It's not a gimme, by any means, but it's an attainable goal for him. And considering the dude fuels himself off of what critics say he can't do.. I'd say he has a fighting chance.


Considering how his average goes down considerably with more attempts, he would probobly have to carry it 400 times to get anywhere near 2000, something the steelers probobly don't have in there game plan.

Hmm i remember getting into several debates with steeler fans about how it's harder to mantain better averages with more attempts....looks willie parker is another good example of that.

Steely_J
08-06-2007, 05:04 PM
I def think LT will be the next guy to do it.


I wouldn't be suprised if Parker pulls it off before his career is over.



Chad has a better chance of getting 2000 recieving yards than willie getting 2000 rushing yards, and chad ain't gettin no 2000.

Last year he had 1494yds and still had a few bad games...

Parker had 5 games last season under 60 yds a game = 221 yds. If he were to just have some consistent 100yd games in there.. say he had 100 even in each of those games he would have added 279 yds to his season total... coming out at 1,773.

It's not hard to say that Parker will probably have a season where he gets at least 100yds a game in rushing. Throw in a few 200+ games like he did last year, and he could very well have a 2000yd season.

It's not a gimme, by any means, but it's an attainable goal for him. And considering the dude fuels himself off of what critics say he can't do.. I'd say he has a fighting chance.

Possible if he didn't have to play the Ravens D twice a year.[;)]
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Hahahaha.... man... man I disdain the Ravens...

Bmoreblitz
08-06-2007, 05:08 PM
I don't think we will se a 2000 yard back for awhile. Especially since alot of teams now try to feature two backs.
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CPRJCJTHALLTHEWAY
08-06-2007, 05:10 PM
L.T. probably has the only chance of getting 2000 yards rushing in one season out of all the active players in the league, but I also think reggie bush could get there after he gets used to the NFL. But then again, Reggie is'nt really an all down back so I'm going to stay with L.T.

sloppy lombardi slaps
08-06-2007, 05:12 PM
I don't think we will se a 2000 yard back for awhile. Especially since alot of teams now try to feature two backs.
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You're probobly right, but i do agree with the poster that Adrian Peterson is a possibility, to get 2000 yards in the NFL today i think you have to be focus of your team's offense and you have to have a good defense to back you up and keep you in the lead so you get your carries. That should be AD for years to come.

CPRJCJTHALLTHEWAY
08-06-2007, 05:13 PM
On my other message I meant if the Saints didn't have Duece Mcallister to share the carries with Reggie.

sloppy lombardi slaps
08-06-2007, 05:24 PM
On my other message I meant if the Saints didn't have Duece Mcallister to share the carries with Reggie.


Reggie is a great player but his chances of rushing for 2,000 yards are slim and none.

Now his chance of getting 2,000 all purpose yards at some point is about the safest bet you can make.

CalSteeler
08-06-2007, 06:36 PM
Willie is actually the type of back that makes it more likely. His ability to take any carry to the house is a rare commodity and as he continues to learn the position his vision will only get better. Remember he essentially didn't play at all in college, he has a huge experience deficit on other NFL players of equivalent year.


That being said I really hope Willie never sees 2K. It would mean he was overused and with a speedy guy like Parker wear and tear on his legs is going to really affect his game. The only way I would be happy to see it is if he ripped off several 200 yard games like the Saints and Stains games of last year. Seeing as how that's unlikey I'll be happy with Willie getting around 1,500 this year.

CPRJCJTHALLTHEWAY
08-06-2007, 06:40 PM
L.T. has a good chance but after Lorenzo Neal retires I don't think he can. Lorenzo Neal is a huge part of the success of L.T. so if he's going to get to 2000 any year I say it as to be this year as it's probably Neal's last year since he is nearly 40 years old. So I say L.T. can't do it after this year unless the Chargers pick up a fullback just as good or better...which isn't likely.

CPRJCJTHALLTHEWAY
08-06-2007, 06:49 PM
L.T. has a good chance but after Lorenzo Neal retires I don't think he can. Lorenzo Neal is a huge part of the success of L.T. so if he's going to get to 2000 any year I say it as to be this year as it's probably Neal's last year since he is nearly 40 years old. So I say L.T. can't do it after this year unless the Chargers pick up a fullback just as good or better...which isn't likely.


Again its the same with Willie parker who is probably losing Allen Faneca, a huge part of Willie's success, at the end of this year. So if he's going to do it then it probably has to be this year unless the Steelers find an equal replacement for Faneca.

Whatever
08-06-2007, 07:04 PM
I think Parker has a shot,although it's pretty unlikely. Barry Sanders is the only real guy to hit 2000 yards that you would consider a "true" scat back like Parker. Lack of depth behind Parker means he's going to get lots of carries in all situations. However,his lack of size makes me doubt he can handle the type of carries needed to hit 2000 yards. Jamal Lewis had 387 attempts when he hit 2000,and averaged 5.3 ypc. Last year,Parker had 337 attempts and averaged 4.4 ypc,nearly a yard less than Lewis. His tendancy to "not show up" against tougher defenses hurts him. Last year,he only averaged more than 5.0 ypc against 3 teams,New Orleans,Cleveland,and Denver. He seems to have a tendancy to either put up a 100 yarder,or a complete stinker of a game.

CPRJCJTHALLTHEWAY
08-06-2007, 07:20 PM
Everything has to go right for Willie Parker to get 2000 yards. And a lot relies on the passing game...If the passing game is any worse than great then the opposing defenses will plan their game around stopping Willie Parker, so Willie isn't the only Steeler that needs to step his play up a lot in order to make Willie Parker the first 2000 yard back for the Steelers

CPRJCJTHALLTHEWAY
08-06-2007, 07:36 PM
Another possibility is Frank Gore. I can't believe he wasn't already mentioned. Last year he ran for 1695 yards with an unproven offensive line. Alex Smith has shown some improvement and can open up the running game more if the 49rs can pass well. All the 49rs would have to do is add some big names to their offensive line and I think Frank Gore would have as good of a chance as L.T. He already averaged 5.4 yards with 312 attempts, so he's going to need some more attempts too.

Jom112
08-06-2007, 07:46 PM
Another possibility is Frank Gore. I can't believe he wasn't already mentioned. Last year he ran for 1695 yards with an unproven offensive line. Alex Smith has shown some improvement and can open up the running game more if the 49rs can pass well. All the 49rs would have to do is add some big names to their offensive line and I think Frank Gore would have as good of a chance as L.T. He already averaged 5.4 yards with 312 attempts, so he's going to need some more attempts too.

Gore's got a shot but I don't see him doing better without Norv Turner. Also Gore has had injury issues in the past. I don't think SF will risk giving Gore enough carries to break 2,000 yards. 1,695 is close but when you look at it statically at 5.4 ypc, he would need an additional 55 carries to reach 2,000 yards.
But out of the current RB's he has just as good of a shot at breaking 2,000 as anyone else minus LT...

Whatever
08-06-2007, 07:53 PM
Another possibility is Frank Gore. I can't believe he wasn't already mentioned. Last year he ran for 1695 yards with an unproven offensive line. Alex Smith has shown some improvement and can open up the running game more if the 49rs can pass well. All the 49rs would have to do is add some big names to their offensive line and I think Frank Gore would have as good of a chance as L.T. He already averaged 5.4 yards with 312 attempts, so he's going to need some more attempts too.

Gore's got a shot but I don't see him doing better without Norv Turner. Also Gore has had injury issues in the past. I don't think SF will risk giving Gore enough carries to break 2,000 yards. 1,695 is close but when you look at it statically at 5.4 ypc, he would need an additional 55 carries to reach 2,000 yards.
But out of the current RB's he has just as good of a shot at breaking 2,000 as anyone else minus LT...

Yeah,Gore's got a broken hand right now. He's also a fumbling machine,and a little time in the coach's doghouse is going to severly hamper any shot at 1000 yards. I hate to say this,but maybe Cedric Benson? Grossman can't throw,and the Bear's WR's aren't great. Plus,the Bears have a pretty good o-line and play in a ridiculously weak division. Plus,they have a strong D that can keep the other team's offense off the field.

CPRJCJTHALLTHEWAY
08-06-2007, 09:13 PM
Another possibility is Frank Gore. I can't believe he wasn't already mentioned. Last year he ran for 1695 yards with an unproven offensive line. Alex Smith has shown some improvement and can open up the running game more if the 49rs can pass well. All the 49rs would have to do is add some big names to their offensive line and I think Frank Gore would have as good of a chance as L.T. He already averaged 5.4 yards with 312 attempts, so he's going to need some more attempts too.

Gore's got a shot but I don't see him doing better without Norv Turner. Also Gore has had injury issues in the past. I don't think SF will risk giving Gore enough carries to break 2,000 yards. 1,695 is close but when you look at it statically at 5.4 ypc, he would need an additional 55 carries to reach 2,000 yards.
But out of the current RB's he has just as good of a shot at breaking 2,000 as anyone else minus LT...

Yeah,Gore's got a broken hand right now. He's also a fumbling machine,and a little time in the coach's doghouse is going to severly hamper any shot at 1000 yards. I hate to say this,but maybe Cedric Benson? Grossman can't throw,and the Bear's WR's aren't great. Plus,the Bears have a pretty good o-line and play in a ridiculously weak division. Plus,they have a strong D that can keep the other team's offense off the field.


But if the Bears only run the ball, then opposing defenses will only try to stop the run. I also don't think of Cedric Benson as the kind of back that can take control of a game and get 200 yards in a game, but I can imagine him getting in the high 300s in carries but no more than 1600 yards

Buckeyehitman
08-06-2007, 09:15 PM
Give me LJ, if he gets into camp. Let's face facts, he's all that offense has. He's durable and he's productive. He has the speed and power to be a home run threat every down. They are going to give him plenty of carries simply for the fact that they need to ease the new QB into position.

Jom112
08-06-2007, 10:44 PM
Another possibility is Frank Gore. I can't believe he wasn't already mentioned. Last year he ran for 1695 yards with an unproven offensive line. Alex Smith has shown some improvement and can open up the running game more if the 49rs can pass well. All the 49rs would have to do is add some big names to their offensive line and I think Frank Gore would have as good of a chance as L.T. He already averaged 5.4 yards with 312 attempts, so he's going to need some more attempts too.

Gore's got a shot but I don't see him doing better without Norv Turner. Also Gore has had injury issues in the past. I don't think SF will risk giving Gore enough carries to break 2,000 yards. 1,695 is close but when you look at it statically at 5.4 ypc, he would need an additional 55 carries to reach 2,000 yards.
But out of the current RB's he has just as good of a shot at breaking 2,000 as anyone else minus LT...

Yeah,Gore's got a broken hand right now. He's also a fumbling machine,and a little time in the coach's doghouse is going to severly hamper any shot at 1000 yards. I hate to say this,but maybe Cedric Benson? Grossman can't throw,and the Bear's WR's aren't great. Plus,the Bears have a pretty good o-line and play in a ridiculously weak division. Plus,they have a strong D that can keep the other team's offense off the field.

I highly doubt it will be Cedric Benson for various reasons:
1. Even though Thomas Jones left he will still be sharing time with Adrian Peterson (No not that one) and Garrett Wolf. There is even some rumors in Chicago about Peterson challenging Benson for the #1 spot this season after Peterson took almost all of the snaps with the first team and Benson with the second team a couple of days ago. I doubt the rumors but Benson probably won't get enough carries to reach 2,000 yards.
2. The O-Line is very good but also very old. Also the biggest weakness for the Bears right now is depth at the O-Line. After their starters they are very thin. So if one of the veterans go down (Krutz or Brown) the line will be in trouble.
3. Even though the division is weak overall they do have some good run stopping defenses: Minnesota is #1 against the run, Green Bay is ranked #13 and Detroit is ranked #21. Alright Detroit isn't that impressive but Minnesota and Green Bay are pretty good against the run.

Bmoreblitz
08-06-2007, 11:38 PM
I can't imagine LJ getting 2000. He broke the record with most attempts and still fell short. Teams will start to do the Chiefs like they do the Ravens after Jamal's 2000 season and stack the box. Teams now are starting to use their backs more and more as a check down receiver. RBs are getting more all purpose yards which are taking away from their carries. Again I think it will be a loooong time before we see another 2000 yard RB
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CPRJCJTHALLTHEWAY
08-07-2007, 01:22 AM
I can't imagine LJ getting 2000. He broke the record with most attempts and still fell short. Teams will start to do the Chiefs like they do the Ravens after Jamal's 2000 season and stack the box. Teams now are starting to use their backs more and more as a check down receiver. RBs are getting more all purpose yards which are taking away from their carries. Again I think it will be a loooong time before we see another 2000 yard RB
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The least amount of carries it took to reach 2000 yards was 332 by O.J.Simpson so based on that someone needs 340+ carries to be able to reach2000. In the 2006 season four running backs had 340+ carries. So each season there will probably be a few backs that get enough carries to get 2000 yards rushing, it just depends on how well they and how consistently.

Joe from Florence
08-07-2007, 07:51 AM
Adrian Peterson

CPRJCJTHALLTHEWAY
08-07-2007, 02:41 PM
Does anyone think Brian Westbrook could do it if he got more carries? Last year he would've had over 1800 yards if he played all sixteen games and had 340 carries at the rate he was going. I know the Eagles probably wouldn't give him the 20+ carries per game that's needed...but if they did I think he would have a chance.

Jom112
08-07-2007, 03:02 PM
Does anyone think Brian Westbrook could do it if he got more carries? Last year he would've had over 1800 yards if he played all sixteen games and had 340 carries at the rate he was going. I know the Eagles probably wouldn't give him the 20+ carries per game that's needed...but if they did I think he would have a chance.

Not a chance. He hasn't played a full 16 game season yet. Plus like Steven Jackson and Reggie Bush, Westbrook mixes his yards between rushing and receiving.
Before last seasons 1,217 yard effort he has never even broke 1,000 yards rushing. The stars would really have to align perfectly for him to break 2,000 yards...

Rayne
08-07-2007, 04:00 PM
Adrian Peterson
If he can stay healthy, he has a shot.

Buckeyehitman
08-07-2007, 05:29 PM
Adrian Peterson
If he can stay healthy, he has a shot.

Boy is that a big "if." Think about the division he's in..he has to play the Bears twice a year, Urlacher's going to KILL HIM.

Rayne
08-07-2007, 08:29 PM
Adrian Peterson
If he can stay healthy, he has a shot.

Boy is that a big "if." Think about the division he's in..he has to play the Bears twice a year, Urlacher's going to KILL HIM.

I was focusing more on, there's seems to be some wide spread speculation as to how healed his injury was from last year at OK. Some insiders say that it could bother him all year, and he could be hiding how injured he really is.
We'll see, though.

CPRJCJTHALLTHEWAY
08-08-2007, 01:51 AM
Adrian Peterson
If he can stay healthy, he has a shot.

Boy is that a big "if." Think about the division he's in..he has to play the Bears twice a year, Urlacher's going to KILL HIM.


You have to remember that by the time Adrian Peterson is at the top of his game, Urlacher and most of the Bears defense will be on the decline of their game...unless the bears start getting young players on their defense rather than their offense, which needs much more help. I would probably say by the time Adrian Peterson has a shot at 2000 yards, the Packers and the Lions would be more of a threat than the Bears at stopping the run.

oasiswr
08-09-2007, 03:49 PM
No RB will obtain the 2000 yard mark,that would be too much stress and punishment for one back to do,unless the division is totally weak in the run defense. (not likely) Besides why do you want to overwork a RB like that? The whole point is to keep fresh legs at all times in the run game to prevent serious injuries from fatigue. There is no "I" in "TEAM";end of story.