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Old 12-15-2012, 09:19 AM
Woodley Woodley is offline
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Default For you stat lovers...

Interesting and very well done AFCN statistics and comparisons in bar graph, trends, and pie chart form. Put together of course by a Steeler fan, you others don't possess the intellectual capacity.


Ben Roethlisberger is really dominating the AFC quarterback average, if you look at the Pro Football Focus ratings. Curiously, he and Joe Flacco are tied for the NFL average ranking, at an average rating of 89.2. (It has to be pointed out, though, the Pittsburgh averages include two sub-par games by Byron Leftwich [51.3 NFL, 55.75 PFF] and Charlie Batch [38.7, NFL, 50.91 PFF])

Curiously, the PFF rating for Roethlisberger in Week 14 is substantially higher than the NFL rating (100.28 as opposed to 87.9.) The PFF rating teases out what they believe to be things under the control of the quarterback (like not noticing a defender standing right between you and your receiver) and things which are not (like a well-thrown pass dropped by the receiver or knocked out by a defender,) and adjusts the rating accordingly. So even though Roethlisberger didn't look particularly sharp in the first half of the game, apparently they felt some of that was not on him. In fact, he received the second highest QB rating from PFF for the week, right behind RGIII. (Tom Brady, in case you're wondering, was No. 4.)
Interception Watch:
Joe Flacco: 9
Andy Dalton: 14
Bradon Weeden: 15
Ben Roethlisberger: 5
Pittsburgh Receivers Total: 11
That's about all the good news for Pittsburgh this week.

After a bad Week 13 for the Ravens they cleaned up their act. After a good Week 13 for the Browns they were back to their usual ways, although it is disconcerting how the other clubs have crept up in the averages to meet them. (For example, in Week 3 the Ravens had an 18.2 incompletion percentage, the Bengals had an 18.6 incompletion percentage, the Steelers had an 11.7 incompletion percentage, and the Browns had a whopping 37.2 incompletion percentage. Or at least it seemed whopping at the time. Although no one so far has out-dropped the Week 1 Browns, with a 65.7 incompletion percentage.) Since Week 3 every team has had one or more games in which at least half of the throws were incompletions.
But the NFL doesn't distinguish between a throw-away, a bad throw, and a pass the receiver should have caught. And although there can undoubtedly be some difference of opinion about whether the QB or the receiver is at fault, PFF makes a determination and publishes a drop rate. Here it is for the three principal wide receivers for each team:

This chart is an average. The Cincinnati receivers, who were so good for so long, have gotten the bug, it seems. To be fair, Marvin Jones was thrust into the No. 3 role due to season-ending injuries to Armon Binn and Mohamed Sanu, both of whom had 0.00% drop rates for the season. Greg Little has been butterfingered since his 2011 rookie season, and does appear to be improving. When I started charting this stat in Week 6 his drop rate was an embarrassing 30%, and is now down to 13.33%, an amazing improvement. The Steelers' Mike Wallace, on the other hand, is having an uncharacteristically bad year, or so I thought, as his drop rate for all of 2011 was a team-best 5.26%. However, as I looked back to 2009 and 2010, it seems his drop rate is pretty similar to this year's, sitting right around 9.5%. And it turns out half of the most-targeted receivers this season have a drop rate over 9%. So I decided to do a bit more digging.

These are for the most-targeted receivers in the league, representing about 1.5 receivers per team. There are several interesting things to me on this chart. First of all, the No. 1 and the midpoint receiver thus far in 2012 have both just been put on IR. It's nothing to do with me, I swear it! But back to stats as opposed to coincidences, note the mid-point rate for each season falls within a rather small area, right around where Mike Wallace is sitting at the moment. (In fact, Wallace's current drop rate is exactly the same as Dwayne Bowes'.) Second of all, note Brown's rate at the moment or Wallace's rate last year could be viewed as the aberration, as they are both better than the Steelers' usual best receiver for the season. (Brown's rate might go up between now and the end of the season, but it could also go down.) I think I will put together a post during the holidays looking at the drop rates in more detail, but for the moment, enough said. Frankly, I don't think the Heinz Field crowd should be booing Mike Wallace. But then I'm not a big fan of booing anyone, even Jeff Reed : )

As you can see, tight ends tend to be more reliable in pass catching, unless their name is Jermaine Gresham. (Note the top number on the TE chart is 12%, as compared to 24% on the WR chart.) Comparing them to the rest of the league, for highly targeted TEs, Dennis Pitta of BAL currently holds the No. 1 spot, and Heath Miller the No. 3.

Pittsburgh is losing ground, so to speak. Interestingly, the yards/attempt average is still very close.

Cincinnati is scaring me.
NFL Ranking:
(As usual, calculated by averaging the ranking for average yards/game and average points/game given up:)
Baltimore Ravens: No. 17 (No. 24 YPG and No. 10 PPG) Last week No. 17
Cincinnati Bengals: No. 11 (No. 6 YPG, No. 15 PPG) Last week No. 11
Cleveland Browns: No. 16 (No. 23 YPG, No. 9 PPG) Last week No. 19
Pittsburgh Steelers: No. 4 (No. 1, YPG, NO. 7, PPG) Last week No. 4
I round up when I average, and as a result Cincinnati has actually improved from last week, as their average was 10.5 this week, and Pittsburgh has actually dropped, as their average last week was 3.5. The Browns continue to move up the chart, and are perilously close to moving into the upper half of the league.

Splash Plays:

Baltimore and Pittsburgh took a step back. Unfortunately in the case of the Steelers they were already down a well. Where's Lassie when you need her? Cincinnati held steady, and Cleveland improved. Sorry, I just noticed the "Game 145," and no, this hasn't suddenly become Major League Baseball...
Special Teams:

I've been keeping Trending charts for both stats, but they just look like spaghetti dumped on the floor. Probably the most consistent team has been the Bengals, but that isn't saying much. As far as averages, Baltimore has by far the best ratio of yards given up to yards gained. Here it is for all the teams:

Black is Yards Given Up in each case.

Phil Dawson and Shaun Suisham are tied at 96.3% of field goal attempts made. At this rate Suisham might be the MVP for the Steelers this season. Which is sort of sad when you think about it, although that is not meant to take anything away from the Kickin' Canuck.
Finally, Point Differential:

Don't have time to play, see ya losers later.

AFC North Roundup: There is No Joy in Mudville Edition - Behind the Steel Curtain

Originally Posted by gmdino
Because MORE elected officials should take that stand they are elected to defend the law..not the bible.
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Old 12-15-2012, 09:30 AM
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SunsetBengal SunsetBengal is offline
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Default Re: For you stat lovers...

Way to go Woodley, copying others homework again.
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Old 12-15-2012, 06:14 PM
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ballsofsteel ballsofsteel is offline
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Default Re: For you stat lovers...

Bueno nachos. What software would you use to make graphs like that?
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Old 12-15-2012, 06:29 PM
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SunsetBengal SunsetBengal is offline
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Default Re: For you stat lovers...

Originally Posted by ballsofsteel View Post
Bueno nachos. What software would you use to make graphs like that?

MS Excel
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Old 12-16-2012, 01:19 AM
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yellowxdiscipline yellowxdiscipline is offline
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Default Re: For you stat lovers...

You could have added some pics of boobies or something, then you might have kept my attention.
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