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#51
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The post I made above. With numbers. And analysis.
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![]() Soooooooooo much thanks to Cin for this incredible sig! CHILD PLEASE |
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#52
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__________________
![]() Soooooooooo much thanks to Cin for this incredible sig! CHILD PLEASE |
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#53
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You can slant numbers however you want. It's not that difficult to do.
Again, that's your opinion. |
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#54
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![]() How did I slant them? ![]()
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![]() Soooooooooo much thanks to Cin for this incredible sig! CHILD PLEASE |
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#55
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#56
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There are a lot of guys that have little supporting cast, but still have an impact in the passing game because of their ability to generate pressure. That wasn't Smith. |
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#57
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None of the DEs on this team now really get pressure all by themselves. MJ and Dunlap get a lot of pressures because of Atkins wreaking havoc up the middle. When Atkins was neutralized(Texans game), this team got exactly zero sacks, and rarely even got pressure. If Smith had an Atkins equivalent here I'll bet he has multiple seasons with 10+ sacks. |
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#58
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![]() 1. I fail to see how Joseph's INT's are somehow less impressive because they were due to "ball-hawking ability". Dude must be one heckuva ball-hawk, cuz he keeps doing it. 2. My eyes must be failing me, because I almost always saw Joseph line up on the right side of the field (from the QB's perspective), and that's where Calvin, Chad, Andre, Fitzgerald, Marshall, AJ Green, and almost every dominant WR seem to line up 90% of the time. Just this past season, it seemed like Leon spent a lot of time covering slot guys and TE's. Pacman covered Andre Johnson as well as some other #1's. Newman covered some as well. 3. I imagine Joseph's #'s are slightly worse than Leon's (I've seen the #'s before), but I think JJ covered more #1 (game-breaker type) WR's than Leon. So the discrepancy in #'s would be more a reflection of that than proof that Leon is better. 4. How many 30+ yard passes did they both give up while here? Again, I don't think there was a huge gap between JJ and Leon, but I definitely think JJ had at least a slight edge. If you honestly think Leon is better than JJ, then Leon's agent should be fired. JJ got 5 years, 48.75 million with 23.5 million guaranteed. Leon got 4 years, 39 million with only 14.1 million guaranteed. The average is the same, but Leon got 1 less year, and only 36% of his money is guaranteed. 48% of Joseph's money is guaranteed. And Leon signed his deal after Joseph. So if Leon were so much better than JJ, his agent should've demanded more money, or at least similar guaranteed money.
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Offseason checklist: 1. Fire Paul Alexander [ ] didn't happen 2. Let Maualuga go, move Burfict to MLB [ ] didn't happen 3. Sign a veteran WR [ ] 4. Draft a speed back high [ x ] 5. Draft a SS high [ x ] 6. Drop Lawson, draft a replacement [ x ] 7. Draft a center and let him battle with Cook & Robinson [ ] 8. Let Clements go [ x ] 9. Bring back Andre Smith [ x ] 10. Bring back MJ (as long as he doesn't demand elite money) [ x ] These things need to happen to take the next step |
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#59
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1. I never said they were less impressive, merely that they weren't really due to coverage, but to ballhawking ability. 2. You are correct where the corners line up. And in that same Pitt game of 2009, Santonio Holmes lined up EVERY snap on Leon; Wallace/Whines were covered by Joseph. Johnson as well in the past 2 seasons, had been covered solely by Adam/Leon, only a couple of times on Newman and Clements. #1s line up all over. This year is when Leon has been mainly in the slot, if there is a slot guy; he never used to do that (Morgan Trent). 3. You missed where I wrote that Leon was lined up more against #1s, yet Joseph was targeted more. 4. From '08-now, Leon has given up 10 passes of 30 or more. 7 from '08-'10. Joseph, from '08-now: 15 passes of 30 or more. 10 from '08-'10 And Leon was targeted overall more than Joseph, but that can be due to injuries mainly. In '09 when both were healthy for all 16 games, Joseph had 108 targets, Leon 101. The numbers don't lie, as well with eye test. I'm sorry Shake, I just cannot prescribe to the idea with all of this evidence going against him.
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![]() Soooooooooo much thanks to Cin for this incredible sig! CHILD PLEASE |
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#60
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As for Justin Smith, he was every bit as good here as he is in SF.
He just gets hype and appreciation now because he's on a great defense. Here in Cincy, he was a lot like Dan Wilkinson. Wilkinson and Justin Smith were both taken high in the draft, and people expected 15 sack seasons because of that. Dan and Justin weren't 15 sack type players, but they were still outstanding overall. Problem is, people only look at sacks and how good the entire defense is (was) playing. Wilkinson averaged 7 sacks here as a DT, which was outstanding (he also had 5 as a 3-4 DE in his final year here). But the Bengals averaged a ranking of 25th on defense, so no one appreciated him. Same goes for Justin Smith. He averaged 67 tackles and 6-7 sacks per season. Very productive, especially considering that John Thornton and a random cast of scrubs were his DT's (I wonder what he could've pulled off with Geno). But again, people wanted a one-man wrecking ball who would instantly change our defense. Honestly, we could probably make an entire team of current and former Bengals who were good, but went unappreciated here.
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Offseason checklist: 1. Fire Paul Alexander [ ] didn't happen 2. Let Maualuga go, move Burfict to MLB [ ] didn't happen 3. Sign a veteran WR [ ] 4. Draft a speed back high [ x ] 5. Draft a SS high [ x ] 6. Drop Lawson, draft a replacement [ x ] 7. Draft a center and let him battle with Cook & Robinson [ ] 8. Let Clements go [ x ] 9. Bring back Andre Smith [ x ] 10. Bring back MJ (as long as he doesn't demand elite money) [ x ] These things need to happen to take the next step |
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#61
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Great post, Shake! But don't give anyone an idea for another off-season thread. ![]()
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DO OR DO NOT. THERE IS NO TRY! |
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#62
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This a great post, and sums up the situation really well. Rep to you, Shake. |
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#63
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The difference? He is a Pro-Bowl 3-4 DE in SF, he was an average to good DE in a 4-3 in Cincy. I don't think playing next to Geno would have helped his numbers all that much since Justin wasn't double teamed all that often when he was here because he wasn't a guy teams worried about all that much. When you draft a guy in the top 5, you need to get a game changer. AJ Green and Carson Palmer were 2 top 5 picks that provided a game changing element to the Bengals. Justin Smith did not. That's why people complain about his lack of production. If he would have been a late first rounder, there would have been no complaints. |
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#64
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You can't hold where he was drafted against him. He played like a 1st round pick while here, and other than Dan Wilkinson, Tim Krumrie, and Geno Atkins, Smith was the best Dlineman the Bengals have had in the last 20 years. |
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#65
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I don't believe MJ or Carlos are in Justin's class. I think MJ is currently in the Above Average category (and should be paid accordingly.) Carlos is strictly Average with a very high potential. Remember, he does not even start! Leon and JJ have always been a close call in my mind. I think both are All Pro level. JJ is the better pass defender; Leon is the better run defender and perhaps one of the league's best at this. It is a shame Bengaldom can't appreciate talent when money is at stake; e.g. JJ and Justin. Most of these guys only get one contract renewal in their careers. Typically it is Year 5 or 6 for first round draft choices and then not again until Year 10 or 11 when they may be finished. Minus QB and WR, the Bengals seem to have a real hard time paying top dollar for top talent. What happens is other teams - including tight fisted teams like the Texans - pay it instead and Bengaldom whines of "money-grubbing, no great loss, etc." and we draftsomebody, get the fan base excited, and start the process all over again. Example: Dre Kirkpatrick - how many more years before he will be an in-kind replacement for JJ? Another 2? Another 3? Never? Sad, when we could have used that 1st round draft choice for something else? It won't surprise me if the same thing happens with Andre Smith this year. |
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#66
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As for the game changing stuff, it's easier for a QB or WR to change an offense than it is for a DE to change a terrible defense. You could've put Michael Strahan on the '01-07 Bengals and it wouldn't have made much difference.
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Offseason checklist: 1. Fire Paul Alexander [ ] didn't happen 2. Let Maualuga go, move Burfict to MLB [ ] didn't happen 3. Sign a veteran WR [ ] 4. Draft a speed back high [ x ] 5. Draft a SS high [ x ] 6. Drop Lawson, draft a replacement [ x ] 7. Draft a center and let him battle with Cook & Robinson [ ] 8. Let Clements go [ x ] 9. Bring back Andre Smith [ x ] 10. Bring back MJ (as long as he doesn't demand elite money) [ x ] These things need to happen to take the next step |
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#67
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#68
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#69
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i always liked smith would have loved to see his numbers with zimmer as coach. smith had to deal with terrible defensive schemes while he was here.
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#70
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and I don't care what anybody says either....... ![]()
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#71
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Elbert "Ickey" Woods, the Bengals were fools to cut you in '91. Your 1,525 rushing yards and 27 touchdowns will not be forgotten. So, Coach Dave Shula, screw you and your crappy steakhouse! |
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#72
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The best corners and safeties in this league cannot shut down a 3rd WR if they have to cover for more than 5secs
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